Effectiveness of Car Scrappage Schemes: Comparative Analysis of European Countries

Effectiveness of Car Scrappage Schemes: Comparative Analysis of European Countries

Author:

Jan Mošovský MSc., Miroslav Svoboda, Michael Fanta

Type: IES Working Papers
Year: 2023
Number: 28
ISSN / ISBN:  
Published on: IES Working Papers 28/2023
Publishing place: Praha
Keywords: car scrappage schemes, synthetic control method, difference-in-differences
JEL codes: H23, C21, R48
Citation: Svoboda M., Fanta M., Mošovský J. (2023): " Effectiveness of Car Scrappage Schemes: Comparative Analysis of European Countries " IES Working Papers 28/2023. IES FSV. Charles University.
Abstract: This study aims to investigate the effectiveness of car scrappage schemes implemented in the European Union (EU) during the economic crisis of 2009. The study uses a synthetic control variable and a difference-in-differences method to evaluate these policies. Using monthly data on new passenger car registrations in European countries, the study examines the impact of the schemes. The results show that the impact of scrappage schemes varies across countries, with statistically significant effects observed in Germany and Slovakia, followed by Greece and Italy, albeit limited in some aspects. The results of the study underline the need for careful policy design and show that the effectiveness of car scrappage schemes goes beyond the level of premiums or budget allocations. It is also influenced by other elements such as the duration of the scheme, the overarching policy environment and the novelty of the implementation strategies.
Download: wp_2023_28_svoboda, fanta, mosovsky