Publication Bias in Measuring Intertemporal Substitution
| Author(s): | prof. PhDr. Tomáš Havránek Ph.D., |
|---|---|
| Type: | IES Working Papers |
| Year: | 2013 |
| Number: | 15 |
| ISSN / ISBN: | |
| Published in: | IES Working Papers 15/2013 (featured on the Economic Logic blog) |
| Publishing place: | Prague |
| Keywords: | Elasticity of intertemporal substitution, consumption, publication bias, meta-analysis |
| JEL codes: | E21, C83 |
| Suggested Citation: | Havránek, T. (2013). “Publication Bias in Measuring Intertemporal Substitution” IES Working Paper 15/2013. IES FSV. Charles University. |
| Abstract: | I examine 2,735 estimates of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution in consumption (EIS) reported in 169 published studies. The literature shows strong publication bias: researchers report negative and insignificant estimates less often than they should, which pulls the mean estimate up by about 0.5. When I correct the mean for the bias, for macro estimates I get zero, even though the reported t - statistics are on average two. The corrected mean of micro estimates for asset holders is around 0.3–0.4. Calibrations of the EIS greater than 0.8 are inconsistent with the bulk of the empirical evidence. |
| Downloadable: |
WP_2013_15_Havranek |
