Macroeconomic Environment and Credit Risk
Author(s): | doc. PhDr. Ing. Ing. Petr Jakubík Ph.D. Ph.D., |
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Type: | Articles in journals with impact factor |
Year: | 2007 |
Number: | 4 |
ISSN / ISBN: | |
Published in: | Czech Journal of Economics and Finance, 57(1-2), pp. 60 - 78 |
Publishing place: | Praha |
Keywords: | banking; credit risk; default rate; latent-factor model; stress test |
JEL codes: | G21, G28, G33 |
Suggested Citation: | |
Grants: | 402/05/2123 (2005-2007) Efficiency of Financial Markets and New Basel Capital Accord (NBCA) IES Research Framework Institutional task (2005-2011) Integration of the Czech economy into European union and its development |
Abstract: | The importance of credit-risk models has increased with the introduction of the New Basel Capital Accord (Basel II). This paper follows Merton´s approach to structural analysis, toward default-rate modeling. A latent-factor model is introduced within this framework. Estimation of this model can help further our understanding of the relationship between credit risk and macroeconomic indicators. The results have been used for stress testing the Czech banking sector. |