Publication detail

Tail Behavior of the Central European Stock Markets during the Financial Crisis

Author(s): doc. PhDr. Jozef Baruník Ph.D.,
Mgr. Lukáš Vácha Ph.D.,
prof. Ing. Miloslav Vošvrda CSc.,
Type: IES Working Papers
Year: 2010
Number: 4
ISSN / ISBN:
Published in: IES Working Papers 4/2010
Publishing place: Prague
Keywords: financial crisis, tail behavior, stock markets, stable probability distribution
JEL codes: G14, C13, C16
Suggested Citation: Barunik, J., Vacha, L., Vosvrda, M. (2010). “ Tail Behavior of the Central European Stock Markets during the Financial Crisis ” IES Working Paper 4/2010. IES FSV. Charles University.
Grants: 402/09/0965: New Approaches for monitoring and prediction of capital markets 402/09/H045 - Nelineární dynamika v peněžní ekonomii a financích. Teorie a empirické modely
Abstract: In the paper we research statistical properties of the Central European stock markets. We focus mainly on the tail behavior of the Czech, Polish, and Hungarian stock markets and compare them to the benchmark U.S. and German stock markets. We fit the data of the 4-year period from March 2005 to March 2009 with the stable probability distribution model and discuss its tail behavior. As the estimation of the tail exponent is very sensitive to the size of the data set, the estimates can be misleading for short daily samples. Thus, we employ high-frequency 1-minute data, which proves to be a good choice as it reveals interesting findings about the distributional properties. Furthermore, we study the difference in stock market behavior before and during the financial crisis.
Downloadable: WP 2010_04_Barunik, Vacha, Vosvrda

Partners

Deloitte

Sponsors

CRIF
McKinsey
Patria Finance