Publication detail

The Influence of Housing Price Developments on Household Consumption: Empirical Analysis for the Czech Republic

Author(s): PhDr. Jakub Seidler Ph.D., Dvořáková Sylvie
Type: Articles in refereed journals
Year: 2013
Number: 0
ISSN / ISBN: 1212-074x
Published in: Bulletin of the Czech Econometric Society, Vol. 20, No. 31, pp. 1-20
Publishing place:
Keywords: households, housing prices, consumption, housing wealth, stock market wealth, VAR model, VECM
JEL codes:
Suggested Citation:
Abstract: This paper studies how the change of wealth of households represented by housing prices and stock market prices influences households’ consumption. We provide empirical analysis based on the Czech aggregate data from 1998–2009. We analyse the effect of change in households’ wealth on the consumption of both durable and non-durable goods employing the VAR and VEC models on quarterly data. The robustness of results is verified by Dynamic OLS and Fully Modified OLS framework. We find a positive effect of both housing wealth and stock market wealth on both types of consumption. In case of non-durable goods consumption, we estimate the cointegrating vector and conclude that the elasticity of non-durable goods consumption with respect to housing wealth is over three times greater than with respect to stock market wealth.

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