Evolution of housing prices and its determinants in CEE
| Author: | Bc. Jakub Šedivý |
|---|---|
| Year: | 2020 - summer |
| Leaders: | Mgr. Petr Polák MSc. Ph.D. |
| Consultants: | |
| Work type: | Finance, Financial Markets and Banking Masters |
| Language: | English |
| Pages: | 86 |
| Awards and prizes: | |
| Link: | https://is.cuni.cz/webapps/zzp/detail/211322/ |
| Abstract: | As housing is one of the important parts of gross domestic product and one of the most significant components of people’s wealth it is vital to investigate the determinants of its prices. Therefore, we analyze housing prices in Central and Eastern European countries using pooled mean group estimator and vector autoregressive models. The objective of this thesis is to find out whether the fundamentals of housing prices are comparable across different countries and how the shocks in the economy affect housing pricese. For our analysis we used housing prices per square metre, GDP per capita, unemployment rates, 5-year interest rates, harmonised indices of consumer prices and construction cost indices. The conclusions of using pooled mean group estimator suggest that GDP, unemployment, interest rate and HICP indeed significantly affect the housing prices. The results of empirical analysis of individual countries using vector autoregressive model conclude that shocks in the determinants affect housing prices with lags of 2 to 3 quarters and that the individual countries are driven by slightly different fundamentals. |
