MONETARY POLICY BEFORE EURO ADOPTION: CHALLENGES FOR NEW EU MEMBERS

MONETARY POLICY BEFORE EURO ADOPTION: CHALLENGES FOR NEW EU MEMBERS

 

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Author: prof. Roman Horváth Ph.D., Jan Filáček
Mgr. Michal Skořepa Ph.D, Jan Filáček
   
Type: IES Occassional Papers
Year: 2006
Number: 5
ISSN / ISBN:  
Published in: IES Occassional Paper 5/2006
Publishing place:
IES FSV, Prague
Keywords:
monetary policy, euro adoption, ERM II, EU
JEL codes: E58, E52, F42, F33
Suggested Citation: Filáček, J., R., Horváth, M., Skořepa (2006). “Monetary Policy before Euro Adoption: Challenges for New EU Members” IES Occasional Paper 5/2006, IES FSV. Charles University.
Granty: Výzkumný záměr IES (2005-2011) Integrace české ekonomiky do Evropské unie a její rozvoj
Abstract: This article analyzes the main issues for monetary policy in new EU member states before their euro adoption. These are typically rooted in the challenge of fulfilling concurrently of the Maastricht inflation and exchange rate criterion, as these countries are experiencing equilibrium real exchange rate appreciation. In this article we first distinguish between the wording, written interpretation and “revealed” interpretation of the inflation and exchange rate criteria. Then we discuss the options for monetary policy in the period of fulfilment of these criteria in terms of its transparency, its continuity with the previous monetary policy regime, the choice of central parity for the ERM II, the setting of the fluctuation bandwidth, the probability of fulfilment of both criteria and the impact on economic stability.
Downloadable: OP 2006_5 Horvath.pdf