DOES HEAT CAUSE HOMICIDES? A META-ANALYSIS
DOES HEAT CAUSE HOMICIDES? A META-ANALYSIS
| Author: | Mgr. Vojtěch Mišák |
|---|---|
| Type: | IES Working Papers |
| Year: | 2023 |
| Number: | 6 |
| ISSN / ISBN: | |
| Published in: | IES Working Papers 9/2023 |
| Publishing place: | Praha |
| Keywords: | environmental law and economics, economic analysis of crime, meta-analysis, Bayesian model averaging, publication bias |
| JEL codes: | K10, K14, K32, Q54 |
| Suggested Citation: | Mišák V. (2023): "Does Heat Cause Homicides? A Meta-Analysis" IES Working Papers 6/2023. IES FSV. Charles University. |
| Abstract: | Several studies provide evidence that heat is positively associated with criminal activity. However, the empirical literature does not provide conclusive evidence about the effect of high temperature on homicides. I examine 156 estimates from 20 studies on the relationship between temperature and homicide rates. In particular, in this meta-analysis I study publication bias using linear and nonlinear techniques together with Bayesian model averaging to explain the heterogeneity in the estimates. After correcting estimates from the publication bias, I find no significant effect of temperature on homicide rates. Moreover, monthly data produce larger estimates. Conversely, studies using data from Asia or the OLS estimation method lead to smaller estimates. |
| Download: | wp_2023_06_misak.pdf |
